Experts have conflicting views on the future of commercial real estate – Orange County Register

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HSBC Co-Head Challenges Short Seller’s Predictions on Commercial Real Estate Market

HSBC Co-Head Challenges Short Seller’s Grim Outlook on Real Estate Market

In a recent interview with Bloomberg Television, HSBC Holdings Plc’s co-head of global banking, Gerry Keefe, challenged short seller Carson Block’s pessimistic outlook on the commercial real estate market. Keefe stated, “You have to conclude that the bottom is behind us,” expressing his belief that the worst may be over for the sector.

Keefe’s comments come in response to Block’s comparison of the current real estate market to the financial system in 2007, warning of further declines. Keefe dismissed Block’s remarks, stating that he believes the market has already hit its low point.

HSBC has significantly reduced its US commercial real estate holdings in the past year, with a 27% drop in exposure to $3.9 billion. Keefe emphasized that the bank is comfortable with its current real estate exposure and has been actively de-risking its portfolio.

Despite the challenges in the real estate market, Keefe remains optimistic about the future of infrastructure and global project finance. He highlighted the boom in project finance and the availability of capital in Asia and the Middle East for investments.

Keefe also hinted at potential hiring plans at HSBC, noting that the company has needs for more staff. This aligns with recent comments from his colleague, Greg Guyett, who mentioned the possibility of hiring 200 bankers to bolster the bank’s ranks.

Overall, Keefe painted a positive picture of the market, especially in the US, describing it as “go-time.” He pointed to the Middle East as a key region for investment, citing the announcement of a $40 billion fund for AI investments as a significant development.

With Keefe’s optimistic outlook and HSBC’s strategic moves in the real estate market, the global banking industry could be poised for growth and expansion in the coming months.

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